Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 10:44 PM Central
Texas hard freeze like Winter Storm Uri: odds today
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before 2028 | 40% |
| Before 2029 | 65% |
Before 2028: +1 points over 24 hours. About $565 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 40¢ means the market puts it at about 40%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Antonio news behind it
- SAPD officer suspended 30 days after family violence arrest3 outlets · Nov 10
- Dan Williams unveils Fall/Winter 2026 collection at Southtown show1 outlet · Nov 10
- Texas Veterans Legal Aid Week offers free legal help to veterans3 outlets · Nov 9
- Texas A&M-San Antonio holds Zoo Ring Day at San Antonio Zoo2 outlets · Nov 9
More San Antonio odds
- San Antonio rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 67% · Above 4 inches 35%
- Spurs 2026-27 regular season wins60 or more wins 56% · 65 or more wins 27%
- Peak Texas gas price in 2026Above $4.20 a gallon 10% · Above $4.40 a gallon 5%
- Texas data center moratoriumBy Jun 30, 2027 18% · By Dec 31, 2027 22%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2028 8%
- Texas crude oil output in 2026Above 5.8M barrels/day 8% · Above 5.7M barrels/day 96%
- Texas 2028 presidential winnerRepublican wins 61% · Democrat wins 38%
- Texas Senate margin of victoryJames Talarico, 12.1+ pts 87%