Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 8:21 PM Pacific
California home prices up year over year, Q4: odds today
Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Index above 419.85 | 34% |
Index above 419.85: no change over 24 hours. About $31,191 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 34¢ means the market puts it at about 34%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Diego news behind it
More San Diego odds
- Highest sea level in San Diego this winter8.30 ft or more 54% · 8.10 ft or more 80%
- Utah State at San Diego State, Nov 14Utah State wins 57% · SDSU wins 42%
- Peak California gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 8% · Above $7.00 a gallon 3%
- California permitted housing units in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18%
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore Jan 1, 2027 55%
- CA-49 House winner in 2028Democrat wins 90% · Republican wins 4%
- Newsom announces a presidential runBy Mar 1, 2027 56% · By Feb 1, 2027 25%
- Magnitude 8.0 earthquake in CaliforniaBefore 2035 18%