Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Fri Nov 13, 8:39 PM Pacific
Who announces a California departure: odds today
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Peter Thiel | 20% |
| Chamath Palihapitiya | 6% |
Peter Thiel: -1 points over 24 hours. About $32,002 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 20¢ means the market puts it at about 20%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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