Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Fri Nov 13, 10:03 PM Pacific
California home prices up year on year, Q4: odds today
Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Index above 419.85 | 34% |
Index above 419.85: no change over 24 hours. About $31,191 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 34¢ means the market puts it at about 34%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More San Jose odds
- San Jose low below 40°F in DecemberBelow 40°F 81%
- Sharks vs UtahSharks win 36% · Utah wins 64%
- Palo Alto home values in NovemberAbove $3.86 million 89%
- California Prop 40 wealth tax marginFails by 4+ points 89% · Fails by 7+ points 2%
- California permitted housing units in 2026Above 110,000 56% · Above 115,000 18%
- California peak gas price in 2026Above $6.60 a gallon 7% · Above $7.00 a gallon 3%
- NVIDIA names a permanent CEOBy Feb 1, 2027 54% · By Jan 1, 2027 26%
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore 2027 55%