San Jose prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 9:03 PM Pacific, busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- San Jose drops below 40°F in DecemberBelow 40°F 86% · Kalshi
- Sharks season points total85+ points 59% · 90+ points 30% · Kalshi
- Peak California gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 21% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10% · Kalshi
- California housing units permitted in 2026Above 110,000 56% · Above 115,000 18% · Kalshi
- California home prices up year over yearIndex above 419.85 34% · Kalshi
- California ballot measures that passProposition 4 passes 58% · Proposition 42 passes 89% · Kalshi
- Prop 40 wealth tax: margin of defeatFails by 4+ points 80% · Fails by 7+ points 15% · Kalshi
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore 2027 55% · Kalshi
- Jensen Huang leaves as Nvidia CEOBefore 2027 14% · Before 2028 40% · Kalshi
- Newsom announces a presidential runBy Mar 31, 2027 52% · By Dec 31, 2026 12% · Polymarket
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18Before April 2027 84% · Before March 2027 12% · Kalshi
- CA-04 HouseEric Jones 94% · Kalshi
- California Governor margin of victoryDemocrats, 29+ pts 94% · Democrats, 30+ pts 91% · Kalshi
- California Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 11.5M 96% · Above 12.6M 93% · Kalshi
- California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton winSan Joaquin 6% · Fresno 4% · Kalshi
- Courts consider Apple a monopolyBefore 2030 21% · Kalshi
- Any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2In 2026 14% · Kalshi
- Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027Before 2027 6% · Kalshi
- California Governor election: Steve Hilton vote percentAt least 34% 60% · At least 37% 9% · Kalshi
- California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 64% 95% · At least 66% 22% · Kalshi
- #2 US Netflix Show this weekNobody Wants This: Season 3 84% · The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 18% · Kalshi
- Who will announce a California departure in 2026Chamath Palihapitiya 6% · Palmer Luckey 5% · Kalshi
- CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent: Vote Percent - Bob SmithAt least 24% 95% · At least 32% 84% · Kalshi
- Gavin Newsom announce a presidential runBefore Oct 1, 2027 78% · Before Jul 1, 2027 74% · Kalshi
- A human land on Mars before California starts high-speed railBefore 2050 29% · Kalshi
- California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percentAt least 48% 23% · At least 50% 4% · Kalshi
- CA-49 House winner (2028)Democratic party 90% · Republican party 4% · Kalshi
- TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percentAt least 40% 95% · At least 52% 81% · Kalshi
- Number of data centers in California this yearAt least 305 70% · At least 315 45% · Kalshi
- Top Global Netflix Movie this weekAnimals 38% · KPop Demon Hunters 25% · Kalshi
- There be an announcement that Netflix’s Haunted Hotel is endingBefore 2027 22% · Kalshi
- #2 US Netflix Movie this weekA Dog's Perfect Christmas 6% · Kalshi
- California gas prices tomorrowAbove 5.7400 96% · Above 5.7450 56% · Kalshi
- California's 21st District margin of victoryCosta, 14+ pts 90% · Costa, 8+ pts 75% · Kalshi
- Google search paid clicks change in fiscal 2026Above 10% 34% · Above 12% 10% · Kalshi
- CA-22 House election: David Valadao vote percentAt least 42% 65% · At least 50% 15% · Kalshi
- CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent: Vote Percent - Adam GrayAt least 50% 90% · At least 52% 81% · Kalshi
- Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 68% 96% · At least 70% 50% · Kalshi
- Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percentAt least 52% 90% · At least 54% 54% · Kalshi