Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 9:48 PM Pacific
Newsom announces 2028 presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 56% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 9% |
Before Mar 1, 2027: +2 points over 24 hours. About $17,631 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 56¢ means the market puts it at about 56%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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