Monday, November 9, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Jose

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Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Mon Nov 9, 9:35 PM Pacific

Newsom announces presidential run: odds today

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

OutcomeChance
By Mar 31, 202750%
By Dec 31, 202612%

By Mar 31, 2027: -1 points over 24 hours. About $102,524 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 50¢ means the market puts it at about 50%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The San Jose news behind it

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