Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 11:10 PM Eastern
Donalds share of governor vote: odds today
Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| At least 50% | 71% |
| At least 52% | 1% |
About $87,770 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 71¢ means the market puts it at about 71%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Tampa Bay news behind it
- Four Pasco charter schools file state complaint over tax revenue1 outlet · Nov 9
- Florida school board races are increasingly partisan. The job isn’t.1 outlet · Nov 9
- Is Florida turning purple again? Democrats make key gains despite Republican statewide election wins1 outlet · Nov 4
- What were the Florida candidates’ walkout songs?1 outlet · Nov 4
More Tampa Bay odds
- Tampa rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 31% · Above 4 inches 18%
- Buccaneers regular-season wins8 or more wins 44% · 9 or more wins 22%
- Visitors to Florida in 2026Above 142 million 42% · Above 144 million 8%
- Peak Florida gas price this yearAbove $4.70 a gallon 10% · Above $5.10 a gallon 6%
- DeSantis announces 2028 presidential runBefore Feb 1, 2027 70% · Before Jan 1, 2027 3%
- Florida Senate seat in 2028Republican wins 68% · Democrat wins 29%
- Starship launch from FloridaBefore 2027 16%
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 3.5+ pts 29% · Moody, 16+ pts 13%