Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 11:10 PM Eastern
Florida Senate seat in 2028: odds today
Florida Senate winner? (2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Republican wins | 68% |
| Democrat wins | 29% |
Republican wins: no change over 24 hours. About $6,979 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 68¢ means the market puts it at about 68%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Tampa Bay news behind it
- DSA-endorsed candidate flips Florida House seat in Hillsborough County1 outlet · Nov 3
- Pasco election results: commission, school board and referendum1 outlet · Nov 3
More Tampa Bay odds
- Tampa rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 31% · Above 4 inches 18%
- Buccaneers regular-season wins8 or more wins 44% · 9 or more wins 22%
- Visitors to Florida in 2026Above 142 million 42% · Above 144 million 8%
- Peak Florida gas price this yearAbove $4.70 a gallon 10% · Above $5.10 a gallon 6%
- Donalds share of governor voteAt least 50% 71% · At least 52% 1%
- DeSantis announces 2028 presidential runBefore Feb 1, 2027 70% · Before Jan 1, 2027 3%
- Starship launch from FloridaBefore 2027 16%
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 3.5+ pts 29% · Moody, 16+ pts 13%