Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Thu Nov 12, 11:07 PM Central
Austin metro median home value on Dec 31: odds today
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Under $397K | 83% |
| $397K to $407K | 10% |
Under $397K: -3 points over 24 hours. About $39,788 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 83¢ means the market puts it at about 83%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Austin news behind it
More Austin odds
- Austin rainfall in NovemberAbove 4 inches 47% · Above 5 inches 27%
- Austin Championship golf winnerTrace Crowe 16% · Blades Brown 12%
- Texas data center moratoriumBy June 30, 2027 18% · By Dec 31, 2027 20%
- Texas enacts a state income taxBefore 2030 22% · Before 2029 12%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger announcedBy Dec 31, 2026 33% · By Jan 31, 2027 47%
- Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026450k to 475k 26% · 475k to 500k 20%
- Texas crude oil production in 2026Above 5.8M barrels/day 8%
- Texas Senate margin of victoryJames Talarico, 12.1+ pts 93% · James Talarico, 12.2+ pts 18%