Tuesday, November 10, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Francisco

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 2:52 AM Pacific

CA governor race margin: odds today

California Governor margin of victory

OutcomeChance
Dem wins by 30+64%
Dem wins by 31+31%

Dem wins by 30+: -30 points over 24 hours. About $141,495 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 64¢ means the market puts it at about 64%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The San Francisco news behind it

More San Francisco odds