Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 5:43 PM Pacific
CA Proposition 4 passes: odds today
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Prop 4 passes | 42% |
Prop 4 passes: +38 points over 24 hours. About $62,503 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 42¢ means the market puts it at about 42%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- California voters decide governor, two House seats and 14 measures1 outlet · Nov 3
- Three city charter amendments pass in San Francisco1 outlet · Nov 7
- Three measures amending the city charter pass in San Francisco2 outlets · Nov 7
- KQED compares San Francisco and California votes on Proposition 401 outlet · Nov 4
More San Francisco odds
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