Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 15, 8:34 AM Pacific
California M8.0+ quake by 2035: odds today
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before 2035 | 18% |
Before 2035: no change over 24 hours. About $32,040 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 18¢ means the market puts it at about 18%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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