Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 3:26 AM Pacific
California Prop 4 passes: odds today
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Prop 4 passes | 61% |
Prop 4 passes: -23 points over 24 hours. About $66,063 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 61¢ means the market puts it at about 61%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- California billionaire tax trails and Prop 42 leads in early returns1 outlet · Nov 4
- California billionaire tax Prop. 40 trails in early results2 outlets · Nov 4
- California voters decide governor, two House seats and 14 measures1 outlet · Nov 3
- Three city charter amendments pass in San Francisco1 outlet · Nov 7
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