Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Tue Nov 10, 9:19 AM Pacific
Newsom announces 2028 run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| By Mar 31, 2027 | 50% |
By Mar 31, 2027: -1 points over 24 hours. About $102,610 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 50¢ means the market puts it at about 50%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Newsom commutes California death sentences2 outlets · Nov 9
- Newsom says he will commute all California death sentences3 outlets · Nov 8
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor race over Steve Hilton1 outlet · Nov 4
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor's race over Steve Hilton2 outlets · Nov 4
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