Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Sun Nov 8, 7:32 AM Pacific
SF metro median home value on Dec 31: odds today
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Under $1.062M | 71% |
| $1.062M–$1.083M | 20% |
Under $1.062M: +4 points over 24 hours. About $44,025 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 71¢ means the market puts it at about 71%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
More San Francisco odds
- SF Proposition I passesProp I passes 24%
- 49ers vs Raiders49ers win 80%
- SF rainfall in NovemberAbove 3 inches 37% · Above 2 inches 62%
- CA billionaire tax marginFails by 7+ points 24% · Fails by 4+ points 60%
- CA gas price peak this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 20%
- Anthropic IPO dateBy Nov 20 46% · By Nov 25 74%
- Waymo reaches 1M paid rides a weekBefore 2027 42%
- OpenAI IPO dateBy June 30, 2027 46% · By March 31, 2027 20%
All San Francisco prediction markets · San Francisco news today