Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Mon Nov 9, 7:35 PM Eastern
West Nile neuroinvasive cases in NYC: odds today
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| 35 to 49 cases | 89% |
| 50 or more cases | 9% |
35 to 49 cases: +62 points over 24 hours. About $107,568 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 89¢ means the market puts it at about 89%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The New York City news behind it
- NYC issues dozens of violations over unsafe e-bike batteries1 outlet · Nov 9
- 34th Street busway redesign work has yet to begin1 outlet · Nov 9
- NY Post reports NYC principal paid for school it says doesn't exist1 outlet · Nov 8
- NYC releases man subject to federal immigration detainer1 outlet · Nov 6
More New York City odds
- NYC median asking rent, December 2026Above $4,000 50% · Above $4,100 22%
- Congestion zone vehicle entries in 2026Above 170 million 78% · Above 175 million 17%
- Subway ridership back to pre-Covid averageReaches 4.19 million 57%
- Will Mamdani raise corporate taxesBefore 2029 44% · Before 2028 26%
- City-owned grocery store opensBefore 2028 74%
- 2029 New York City mayoral electionZohran Mamdani 82% · Jessica Tisch 8%
- New Jersey gas price at year-endAbove $3.80 a gallon 27% · Above $3.70 a gallon 68%
- Port of NY and NJ container volumeAbove 8.9 million TEUs 50% · Above 8.8 million TEUs 74%
All New York City prediction markets · New York City news today