Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Phoenix

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 8:25 PM Mountain (Arizona)

Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent: odds today

Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent (Vote Percent - Katie Hobbs)

OutcomeChance
At least 48%96%
At least 54%94%
At least 56%80%
At least 58%15%

About $18,863 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 96¢ means the market puts it at about 96%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

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