Phoenix prediction markets
Odds as of Sun Nov 8, 8:25 PM Mountain (Arizona), busiest markets first. Prices reflect what traders are betting, not our view.
- Phoenix rainfall in NovemberOver 2 inches 40% · Over 3 inches 10% · Kalshi
- Suns regular season wins40+ wins 28% · 45+ wins 12% · Kalshi
- Hobbs vote share in Maricopa CountyHobbs at least 52% 63% · Hobbs at least 58% 15% · Kalshi
- Arizona semiconductor jobs growth in 2026Above 24,431 jobs 16% · Kalshi
- Carvana retail unit sales in 2026Above 840,000 units 20% · Above 820,000 units 80% · Kalshi
- Arizona governor margin of victoryHobbs wins by 12+ 76% · Hobbs wins by 13.5+ 33% · Kalshi
- Counties Hobbs will win for governorHobbs wins Yuma 61% · Hobbs wins Cochise 21% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victoryShah, 14+ pts 8% · Shah, 17+ pts 5% · Kalshi
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona5 93% · Above 6 5% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 8th District margin of victoryHamadeh, 24+ pts 21% · Hamadeh, 21+ pts 7% · Kalshi
- Arizona Iced Tea price increase in 2026anything greater than 0% 14% · Kalshi
- Arizona Senate winner (2028)Democratic party 70% · Republican party 29% · Kalshi
- Arizona Governor election: Andy Biggs vote percentAt least 42% 96% · At least 36% 96% · Kalshi
- AZ-09 House winner (2028)Republican party 92% · Democratic party 8% · Kalshi
- Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percentAt least 48% 96% · At least 54% 94% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 3rd District margin of victoryAnsari, 63+ pts 96% · Ansari, 57+ pts 95% · Kalshi
- AZ-08 House winner (2028)Republican party 91% · Democratic party 8% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 6th District margin of victoryMendoza, 10+ pts 13% · Kalshi
- Which ballot measures will pass in ArizonaProposition 320 5% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 5th District margin of victoryLamb, 2+ pts 63% · Lamb, 5+ pts 17% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 9th District margin of victoryGosar, 9+ pts 92% · Gosar, 12+ pts 84% · Kalshi
- Arizona's 4th District margin of victoryStanton, 4+ pts 90% · Stanton, 13+ pts 86% · Kalshi
- AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent: Vote Percent - Jay FeelyAt least 46% 40% · Kalshi
- AZ-01 House election: Amish Shah vote percentAt least 50% 93% · At least 48% 90% · Kalshi
- AZ-05 House winner (2028)Republican party 86% · Democratic party 12% · Kalshi
- FL-24 House election: Oliver Gilbert III vote percentAt least 70% 92% · At least 68% 72% · Kalshi