Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 8:25 PM Mountain (Arizona)
Arizona governor margin of victory: odds today
Arizona Governor margin of victory
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hobbs wins by 12+ | 76% |
| Hobbs wins by 13.5+ | 33% |
Hobbs wins by 12+: -23 points over 24 hours. About $140,613 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 76¢ means the market puts it at about 76%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Phoenix odds
- Phoenix rainfall in NovemberOver 2 inches 40% · Over 3 inches 10%
- Suns regular season wins40+ wins 28% · 45+ wins 12%
- Hobbs vote share in Maricopa CountyHobbs at least 52% 63% · Hobbs at least 58% 15%
- Arizona semiconductor jobs growth in 2026Above 24,431 jobs 16%
- Carvana retail unit sales in 2026Above 840,000 units 20% · Above 820,000 units 80%
- Counties Hobbs will win for governorHobbs wins Yuma 61% · Hobbs wins Cochise 21%
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victoryShah, 14+ pts 8% · Shah, 17+ pts 5%
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona5 93% · Above 6 5%