Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Phoenix

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 8:25 PM Mountain (Arizona)

Arizona's 8th District margin of victory: odds today

Arizona's 8th District margin of victory (Arizona's 8th District)

OutcomeChance
Hamadeh, 24+ pts21%
Hamadeh, 21+ pts7%
Hamadeh, 15+ pts4%
Hamadeh, 3+ pts4%

About $25,655 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 21¢ means the market puts it at about 21%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Phoenix news behind it

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