Sunday, November 8, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Phoenix

Change city

Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 8, 8:25 PM Mountain (Arizona)

Arizona's 9th District margin of victory: odds today

Arizona's 9th District margin of victory (Arizona's 9th District)

OutcomeChance
Gosar, 9+ pts92%
Gosar, 12+ pts84%
Gosar, 15+ pts62%
Gosar, 24+ pts45%
Gosar, 27+ pts18%
Gosar, 30+ pts10%

About $13,800 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 92¢ means the market puts it at about 92%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Phoenix news behind it

More Phoenix odds