Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sat Nov 14, 1:21 AM Eastern
2028 North Carolina Senate race: odds today
North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Democratic win | 70% |
| Republican win | 27% |
Democratic win: -1 points over 24 hours. About $86,222 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 70¢ means the market puts it at about 70%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Raleigh news behind it
- Cooper wins NC Senate seat; Democrats take state House1 outlet · Nov 5
- NC, Wake County agencies report Outlook issues during outage1 outlet · Nov 13
- NC State Fair food sales reach $3.1M after vendor fee change1 outlet · Nov 12
- NC State warns about room tour social media trend1 outlet · Nov 12
More Raleigh odds
- RDU airport passengers in 2026Above 15.75 million 86% · Above 16.00 million 11%
- Wake Forest vs SMUWake Forest wins 48% · SMU wins 52%
- NC data center moratoriumBy end of 2027 18% · By end of 2028 32%
- When AP calls the NC-03 House raceBefore Nov 18 72% · Before Nov 25 94%
- 2028 North Carolina governor raceDemocratic win 66% · Republican win 32%
- Lowe's Q3 customer transactionsAbove 182 million 59% · Above 183 million 38%
- NC pharma manufacturing jobsAbove 26,500 jobs 29%
- North Carolina Senate margin of victoryCooper, 19.4+ pts 96% · Cooper, 19.5+ pts 91%