Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:26 AM Eastern
NC Senate winner in 2028: odds today
North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Democratic win | 70% |
| Republican win | 26% |
Democratic win: no change over 24 hours. About $86,419 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 70¢ means the market puts it at about 70%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Raleigh news behind it
- Cooper wins NC Senate seat; Democrats take state House1 outlet · Nov 5
- NC, Wake County agencies report Outlook issues during outage1 outlet · Nov 13
- NC State men's soccer loses 1-0 to UNC in ACC semifinal1 outlet · Nov 13
- NC State Fair food sales reach $3.1M after vendor fee change1 outlet · Nov 12
More Raleigh odds
- RDU airport passengers in 2026Above 15.75 million 86% · Above 16.00 million 12%
- NC data center moratoriumBy end of 2028 32% · By end of 2027 18%
- NC Senate margin of victoryCooper wins by 19.5+ 91% · Cooper wins by 23+ 15%
- NC governor party in 2028Democratic win 66% · Republican win 32%
- NC pharmaceutical manufacturing jobsAbove 26,500 jobs 29%
- Lowe's customer transactions, Q3Above 182 million 58% · Above 183 million 38%
- UNC football regular season wins7 or more wins 48% · 8 or more wins 16%
- North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victorySmith, 0.1+ pts 91% · Smith, 0.3+ pts 10%