Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 8:16 PM Pacific
Prop 40 wealth tax margin: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| No wins by 7+ points | 6% |
| No wins by 4+ points | 83% |
No wins by 7+ points: -2 points over 24 hours. About $141,914 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 6¢ means the market puts it at about 6%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Diego news behind it
- California Proposition 1 is on the verge of passing1 outlet · Nov 6
- Election results for billionaire tax, voter ID measure and other California props1 outlet · Nov 4
- Election 2026: Elliott nears Senate win; Davies holds slim lead1 outlet · Nov 6
- 5 things to know before Election Day in San Diego County1 outlet · Nov 1
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