Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Tue Nov 10, 9:40 PM Pacific
Prop 40 wealth tax vote margin: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| No wins by 4+ points | 87% |
| No wins by 7+ points | 6% |
No wins by 4+ points: +19 points over 24 hours. About $141,915 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 87¢ means the market puts it at about 87%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Jose news behind it
- Proposition 43 trails in California vote on local tax thresholds2 outlets · Nov 10
- California voters reject Proposition 40 wealth tax2 outlets · Nov 9
- California voters reject Proposition 40 billionaire tax3 outlets · Nov 10
- Morgan Hill vote count continues; no lead changes so far1 outlet · Nov 10
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