Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 3:05 PM Pacific
California home prices up year on year: odds today
Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Index above 419.85 | 34% |
Index above 419.85: no change over 24 hours. About $31,191 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 34¢ means the market puts it at about 34%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Los Angeles odds
- Los Angeles mayoral margin of victoryRaman wins by 8-10% 88% · Raman wins by 10-12% 10%
- Becerra vote share in LA CountyAt least 70% 50% · At least 72% 33%
- Los Angeles rainfall in NovemberAbove 2 inches 55% · Above 3 inches 28%
- Rams vs Cardinals on Nov 15Rams win 80% · Cardinals win 20%
- California wealth tax (Prop 40) marginFails by 4+ points 76% · Fails by 7+ points 7%
- Peak California gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 8% · Above $7.20 a gallon 6%
- California housing units permitted in 2026Above 110,000 units 56% · Above 115,000 units 18%
- California high-speed rail track laidStarts by Jan 1, 2027 55%