Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 3:05 PM Pacific
California wealth tax (Prop 40) margin: odds today
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fails by 4+ points | 76% |
| Fails by 7+ points | 7% |
Fails by 4+ points: -9 points over 24 hours. About $161,026 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 76¢ means the market puts it at about 76%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The Los Angeles news behind it
- California voters reject Prop 40 billionaire tax, NBC projects1 outlet · Nov 9
- Californians reject Prop 39 voter ID requirement, NBC News projects1 outlet · Nov 6
- Council members pledge to move LA forward after Raman's win1 outlet · Nov 6
More Los Angeles odds
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