Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 7:57 PM Pacific

Anthropic announces an IPO: odds today

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

OutcomeChance
Before Nov 1616%

Before Nov 16: +15 points over 24 hours. About $2,937,307 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 16¢ means the market puts it at about 16%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The San Francisco news behind it

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