Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 12:06 PM Pacific
CA housing units permitted in 2026: odds today
California permitted housing units in 2026
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Above 110,000 | 56% |
| Above 115,000 | 18% |
Above 110,000: +1 points over 24 hours. About $92,357 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 56¢ means the market puts it at about 56%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
More San Francisco odds
- SF metro median home value on Dec 31Under $1.062M 64% · $1.062M to $1.083M 18%
- SF rainfall in NovemberAbove 4 inches 52% · Above 5 inches 22%
- 49ers vs Cowboys, Nov 1549ers win 66% · Cowboys win 34%
- CA billionaire tax marginFails by 4+ points 86% · Fails by 7+ points 6%
- CA home prices rise year over yearUp YoY in Q4 2026 34%
- Anthropic IPO closing market cap$1.25T to $1.5T 37% · $1.5T to $1.75T 27%
- OpenAI announces an IPOBy Apr 1, 2027 29% · By Jun 1, 2027 48%
- Waymo reaches 1M paid rides a weekBefore 2027 38%
All San Francisco prediction markets · San Francisco news today