Wednesday, November 11, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

San Francisco

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 11:11 PM Pacific

CA governor margin of victory: odds today

California Governor margin of victory

OutcomeChance
Dem wins by 31+ pts31%
Dem wins by 30+ pts98%

About $150,730 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 31¢ means the market puts it at about 31%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The San Francisco news behind it

More San Francisco odds