Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 3:02 PM Pacific
Magnitude 8+ California earthquake: odds today
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Before 2035 | 21% |
Before 2035: no change over 24 hours. About $32,034 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 21¢ means the market puts it at about 21%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
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