Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Wed Nov 11, 8:52 AM Pacific
Newsom announces a 2028 run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| By Mar 31, 2027 | 48% |
| By Dec 31, 2026 | 12% |
By Mar 31, 2027: -4 points over 24 hours. About $103,038 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 48¢ means the market puts it at about 48%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Newsom commutes California death sentences2 outlets · Nov 9
- Newsom commutes California death sentences; victims' families divided1 outlet · Nov 9
- Newsom says he will commute all California death sentences3 outlets · Nov 8
- Xavier Becerra wins California governor race over Steve Hilton1 outlet · Nov 4
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