Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Phoenix

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Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM Mountain (Arizona)

Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory: odds today

Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory (Arizona's 2nd District)

OutcomeChance
Crane, 0.2+ pts94%

About $56,390 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 94¢ means the market puts it at about 94%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Phoenix news behind it

More Phoenix odds