Thursday, November 12, 2026

ACTA DIURNA

Phoenix

Change city

Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM Mountain (Arizona)

Hobbs share of Maricopa County vote: odds today

Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent

OutcomeChance
Hobbs at least 58%15%
Hobbs at least 64%3%

About $4,450 traded.

What the numbers mean

On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 15¢ means the market puts it at about 15%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.

See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.

The Phoenix news behind it

More Phoenix odds