Prediction market · Polymarket · updated Sun Nov 8, 9:03 PM Pacific
Newsom announces a presidential run: odds today
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| By Mar 31, 2027 | 52% |
| By Dec 31, 2026 | 12% |
By Mar 31, 2027: +1 points over 24 hours. About $102,524 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Polymarket, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 52¢ means the market puts it at about 52%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Polymarket, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More San Jose odds
- San Jose drops below 40°F in DecemberBelow 40°F 86%
- Sharks season points total85+ points 59% · 90+ points 30%
- Peak California gas price this yearAbove $6.60 a gallon 21% · Above $6.80 a gallon 10%
- California housing units permitted in 2026Above 110,000 56% · Above 115,000 18%
- California home prices up year over yearIndex above 419.85 34%
- California ballot measures that passProposition 4 passes 58% · Proposition 42 passes 89%
- Prop 40 wealth tax: margin of defeatFails by 4+ points 80% · Fails by 7+ points 15%
- California starts laying high-speed rail trackBefore 2027 55%