Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Wed Nov 11, 12:06 PM Pacific
Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco: odds today
Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco? (In 2026)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Proposition D | 94% |
| Proposition I | 4% |
About $6,285 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 94¢ means the market puts it at about 94%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
The San Francisco news behind it
- Three city charter amendments pass in San Francisco1 outlet · Nov 7
- Three measures amending the city charter pass in San Francisco2 outlets · Nov 7
- California billionaire tax trails and Prop 42 leads in early returns1 outlet · Nov 4
- Mayor Daniel Lurie's ballot measures lead in early results1 outlet · Nov 3
More San Francisco odds
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- SF rainfall in NovemberAbove 4 inches 52% · Above 5 inches 22%
- 49ers vs Cowboys, Nov 1549ers win 66% · Cowboys win 34%
- CA billionaire tax marginFails by 4+ points 86% · Fails by 7+ points 6%
- CA home prices rise year over yearUp YoY in Q4 2026 34%
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- OpenAI announces an IPOBy Apr 1, 2027 29% · By Jun 1, 2027 48%
- Waymo reaches 1M paid rides a weekBefore 2027 38%
All San Francisco prediction markets · San Francisco news today