Prediction market · Kalshi · updated Mon Nov 9, 8:33 PM Mountain (Arizona)
Arizona Senate winner in 2028: odds today
Arizona Senate winner? (2028)
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Democratic party | 70% |
| Republican party | 29% |
Democratic party: -1 points over 24 hours. About $23,371 traded.
What the numbers mean
On Kalshi, traders buy contracts that pay $1 if an outcome happens, so a price of 70¢ means the market puts it at about 70%. These are bets, not polls and not our forecast. We don't take sides and have no stake in any market. Not financial advice.
See the market on Kalshi, where the rules say exactly how it resolves.
More Phoenix odds
- Phoenix rainfall in NovemberAbove 2 inches 40% · Above 3 inches 8%
- Suns regular-season wins35+ wins 51% · 40+ wins 25%
- Hobbs vote share in Maricopa CountyHobbs at least 52% 63% · Hobbs at least 58% 15%
- Arizona governor margin of victoryHobbs by 14.5+ points 49% · Hobbs by 16+ points 4%
- Arizona semiconductor jobs growthAbove 24,431 workers 16%
- Carvana retail unit sales in 2026Above 840,000 units 20% · Above 820,000 units 80%
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victoryShah, 8+ pts 47% · Shah, 14+ pts 8%
- Arizona's 8th District margin of victoryHamadeh, 24+ pts 21% · Hamadeh, 21+ pts 7%